Moving Beyond Population-Centric vs. Enemy-Centric Counterinsurgency

Historically, insurgency is one of the most prevalent forms of armed conflict and it is likely to remain common in the foreseeable future. Recent experiences with counterinsurgency in Iraq and Afghanistan offer many lessons for future counterinsurgents, but the discourse on the subject continues to be mired in a traditional dichotomy pitting population-centric approaches to counterinsurgency against enemy-centric approaches. Historical analysis suggests that this traditional dichotomy is not a sufficiently nuanced way to understand or plan for such operations. Instead, discussions of counterinsurgency should focus on two dimensions: actions (use of physical force vs. political or moral actions) and targets (active insurgents vs. insurgent support). This perspective divides the space of possible counterinsurgency efforts into four quadrants, suggesting that effective counterinsurgency campaigns find a balance of effort across the four quadrants that is well matched to the specific context.     

军校思想政治理论课实践教学的价值及途径探索

军校思想政治理论课实践教学是理论教学的延伸和拓展，是让学员运用所学理论去检验真理的有效性，从而获取价值认同、情感体验，树立革命军人核心价值观并坚定信仰。探索军校思想政治理论课实践教学，加强思想政治理论课的实践环节，是培养当代革命军人的关键。     

基于多阶段博弈模拟的作战飞机零部件备用分析

从决策优化的角度出发,提出了一种利用多阶段博弈模拟来分析和解算作战飞机零部件备用的方法.该方法首先分析了多阶段博弈模拟在作战飞机零部件备用的应用,给出了最优化问题的总的目标函数一般形式.然后转换和简化所得到的最优化问题目标函数形式,从而有利于零部件备用的最优化解算.最后,给出了多阶段博弈模拟分析算法的主要步骤.仿真结果表明,这种方法解决了零部件使用模型问题求解的不精确的分析方法.将零部件使用周期作战飞机零部件备用看成一个整体来分析,符合未来网络中心战作战飞机零部件使用备份追求整体效能最大的思想.     

某文化广场性能化防火设计及其关键问题研究

地下空间的广泛开发利用给防火安全带来了很多新的问题，现有的：处方式建筑防火规范严重滞后于现代建筑对消防设计的要求。结合杭州波浪文化广场具体工程设计中存在的问题，利用火灾模拟和火灾安全工程学进行火灾风险评估，借助区域模拟软件CFAST对防火分区火灾蔓延、烟气运动过程进行模拟和定量分析，提出优化设计意见，并在工程设计中得到了应用。     

对马克思主义基本原理概论课实施案例教学的思考

案例教学是一种比较理想的符合大学生认知规律和心理需求的新教学尝试。它在教学实践中的灵活运用，为“两课”教学改革提供了新的契机，成为深化“两课”教学方式改革的新的突破口。《马克思主义基本原理概论》实施案例教学要努力提高增强思想政治理论课教师的责任感和敏锐性，要注重紧密围绕思想政治教育的目标展开教育教学，要努力捕捉学生理论思考中的疑点、热点和难点进行案例教学。     

煤焦化工程火灾危险性及消防设计探析

从焦化工程的工艺流程出发，分析了其火灾危险性，提出了基本消防设计对策，为我国编制出台《煤化工防火设计规范》，从根本上解决煤化工工程在防火设计、建设施工、消防审核和验收中遇到的难题，提供理论依据。     

物元贝叶斯网络模型研究

分析了贝叶斯网络建模过程中的缺陷,结合物元理论,提出了物元贝叶斯网络理论.该理论能够融合二者的优点,既可处理复杂系统中的不确定性,又能充分利用系统中的所有信息,因此能够更好地进行复杂系统评价.     

模糊理论与D-S理论在指控系统目标识别融合中的应用

多传感器信息融合技术已获得了普遍的关注和广泛的应用,其理论和方法已成为智能信息处理的一个重要领域,模糊理论与证据理论(D-S)是主要的技术之一.在某试飞指控系统中,为了获得可靠的识别结果需要目标识别的融合问题.系统的从实际出发提出了基于模糊理论与D-S理论的目标识别融合方法.仿真计算结果表明,该模型和方法具有方法简单、运算量小和识别结果可靠等优点,具有一定的理论意义和使用价值.     

装备势论

剖析了“势”的内涵,并将其引入装备工作领域,提出了“装备势”理论。说明了装备势的概念,分析了装备势的发展现状,提出了装备势的主要分类,建立了装备势的层次结构和表示方法,研究了装备势模型在各类装备工作中可能存在的应用价值。装备势理论作为一个独立、完整的体系,能够为各类装备工作提供不同层面、不同类型的关于装备力量的数值参考。     

Disruption‐management strategies for short life‐cycle products

Supplier diversification, contingent sourcing, and demand switching (whereby a firm shifts customers to a different product if their preferred product is unavailable), are key building blocks of a disruption‐management strategy for firms that sell multiple products over a single season. In this article, we evaluate 12 possible disruption‐management strategies (combinations of the basic building‐block tactics) in the context of a two‐product newsvendor. We investigate the influence of nine attributes of the firm, its supplier(s), and its products on the firs preference for the various strategies. These attributes include supplier reliability, supplier failure correlation, payment responsibility in the event of a supply failure, product contribution margin, product substitutability, demand uncertainties and correlation, and the decision makes risk aversion. Our results show that contingent sourcing is preferred to supplier diversification as the supply risk (failure probability) increases, but diversification is preferred to contingent sourcing as the demand risk (demand uncertainty) increases. We find that demand switching is not effective at managing supply risk if the products are sourced from the same set of suppliers. Demand switching is effective at managing demand risk and so can be preferred to the other tactics if supply risk is low. Risk aversion makes contingent sourcing preferable over a wider set of supply and demand‐risk combinations. We also find a two‐tactic strategy provides almost the same benefit as a three‐tactic strategy for most reasonable supply and demand‐risk combinations. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2009